Following my post yesterday about polls, a reader (Robin Johnson's Economics Web Page) sent me a link to the below chart from Wikipedia. It plots the main opinion poll results since the 2008 election, and it shows clearly that the gap between National and Labour is not closing.
(Author Mark Payne)
Now I don't want to get involved in a tedious debate about statistics. But this does suggest that some people are clinging more to hope than facts when they say the gap between the main parties is closing.
Of course, things could change, and the gap could close. But why should we expect a closing of a gap that has stayed wide for the last two years, unless the main parties start doing things differently? What has Labour done to justify the gap being closed?
Baring John Key being caught in a compromising position with a Goat... The result is a foregone conclusion, 3 more years of crap !
ReplyDeleteIf the Labour team install David Parker as the leader, I feel that their fortunes would improve.
I think he'd even survive getting close with a goat.
ReplyDelete"I offer no excuses, but I was distracted thinking about our soldiers and didn't pay attention to where I was putting myself. At the end of the day I'm relaxed that the right decisions were made."
Phil Goff's response would be: "I like goats too."
We need to hack the BRT's twitter ac and post:
ReplyDelete@JKEY damn goats wont fuck themselves John! Get2it! We cn stll fund ACT U know.
Wow hat tip. Thanks. Chart geeks of the world unite and share overlapping confidence intervals.
ReplyDeletePost EQ comment. I can only see the gap widening in the new "politics-free" landscape after 22 Feb.
ReplyDeleteUnless... John Key appoints himself Colonel-in-chief, starts designing his own uniforms, and personally picks the All Blacks who then lose the RWC.
Perhaps thats a just a blog post fantasy we may imagine.