10 April 415 B.C: Many of those who spoke in the assembly against the campaign said it was reckless and foolish to go sailing off into distant lands while our own borders remain insecure. But one of the most fundamental rules of politics is that you should never strike where the enemy expects you to. That's why I endorse this expedition against Syracuse. The choice of three generals with entirely different strategies to lead the expedition is a brilliant one. When decisive leadership is required, establish a committee!
3 January 49 B.C: My latest assignment is proving to be a real delight. Rome's a fascinating town, and I have been deeply impressed with the way the governing classes in this Roman Republic conduct themselves. The men of the Senate are vexed by Caesar's demands, but I have assured them they have nothing to worry about. Caesar will not dare cross the Rubicon into Italy, because if he does so he will be at war with the Roman state. His men will desert him, rather than be crushed by Pompey's armies. Caesar may be a useful general, but he has neither the courage nor the tactical nous of his opponent.
1 January 43 B.C: That Cicero fellow's a genius. He's not just a great orator and writer, but a perceptive and clever politician. He's got that foolish upstart boy Octavian wrapped around his finger, and Mark Antony is running scared. I predict a long and glorious future for the Roman Republic, under the wise stewardship of Marcus Tullius Cicero.
28 May 1588: I pity the English, but they had it coming.
15 September 1801: There is always some fool predicting a new fad. Steam power? Don't make me laugh. Nothing will come of it.
20 July 1789: Those troublemakers causing so much bother in Paris ought to be ashamed of themselves. They need to take a deep breath and take a good look at themselves in the Hall of Mirrors. They want to change the world, but they're just stupidly naive. We all want reform, but most people know that slow and gradual progress is the only way to go. Thank God the French have a sensible ruler at this difficult time, a man who understands what needs to be done.
1 June 1876: Just appointed to the staff of Lieutenant Colonel George Custer. I have already drawn up a battle plan, and I'm confident of a swift victory.
June 25 1876: Although Custer and his men are now all dead, everything has gone largely to plan, which proves that my strategy was the correct one. The most effective way to defeat your enemy is to identify his greatest strength and then turn it into a weakness. After today's efforts we're halfway there!
5 April 1931: Now is not the time to be throwing money about. Times are tough for everyone, but there's no public appetite for reckless spending. We all have to tighten our belts, and that means the government too. Especially the government. Being on the left doesn't mean we should be fiscally irresponsible.
29 September 1938: I told Neville just to sign the damn piece of paper. Nobody wants to go to war over a small central European country with a name nobody can spell, least of all the Germans. It will keep them quiet, and we can be assured of gloriously ruling the waves for another fifty years. Neville demurs, and worries that the Germans may simply demand more territory; but where would they go? The Polish cavalry will overrun them if they move east, and if they attack France they'll be broken on the Maginot Line. I had to remind Neville that our staunch allies, the French, have the most powerful army in the world.
12 August 2012: Those were some times, I tell you! Now it's time to get back to work. I've got some great ideas to share with David and the team.
Sunday, August 12, 2012
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Reading this the words of Theodore Roosevelt come to mind, "It is not the critic that counts but....the man in the arena". I like you, am a Labour party member and deeply disappointed with the conduct of the party and I agree with your latest posts, especially in holding Shearer to account over beneficiary bashing but when are you going to offer another solution?
ReplyDeleteNo, Labour is not perfect but its naive to suggest that the Greens are going to win over middle New Zealand anytime soon and as much I did disagree with Shearer's comments on beneficiaries, I think we need to be careful not to repeat the mistakes of putting idealism over pragmatism and consequentialism. If a Labour-led government wins the next election does it really matter about their strategy or their rhetoric if they actually do raise the minimum wage, invest in R&D, introduce a capital gains tax etc.?
but when are you going to offer another solution?
DeleteI'm not asking anyone to vote for me, so I don't need to offer anything.
But if I were to offer suggestions, it would be in the communications and strategy area. Labour is focusing on attracting the votes of non-core voters, such as rural voters and business leaders. But somewhere in the rush to move to the centre they've forgotten about the people who turned away from them on the left. It's a bit of a problem, because a large number of party activists are to the left of the caucus, and it's the activists who do all the grunt work during election campaigns.
If a Labour-led government wins the next election does it really matter about their strategy or their rhetoric if they actually do raise the minimum wage, invest in R&D, introduce a capital gains tax etc.?
Except that Labour's strategy and rhetoric may well determine whether they win, or whether they win with a comfortable enough majority to actually make a difference. Labour lost so badly in 2011 because many traditional Labour voters stayed away from the polls. Shearer's obsession with the centre voter would be fine if he had already secured his left flank, but he hasn't.
I would hazard a guess that apart from me no one will have read either Thucydides or own a copy of the now out of print definitive account of the 415BC expedition - Peter Green's Armada from Athens...
ReplyDeleteYou may be surprised. Thucydides is essential reading for anyone seriously interested in politics.
DeleteAlex
ReplyDeleteYes, pragmatism and winning swing voters, sure. But (as Scott implies in the post) Shearer's strategist is Mallard, and Mallard tries to win swing voters by shouting "Look at all those bodyguards Key has" or "Right wing bloggers, I'm onto you!", or other garbage of no relevance whatsoever to anyone outside the walls of Parliament. So swing voters aren't swinging (why would they?).
It's not the centre. It's stupidity. Shearer had a chance to dump the failures of 2011. Instead, he has embraced them. With predictable results.
And with all due respect Alex, it's comments like yours that permit and perpetuate the failure.
I may not have had Trevor Mallard in mind when I wrote this post...
DeleteI wonder whether Labour's lack of direction is due to the voracious checking of their leader's power. If he upsets his caucus and/or 'under-performs' they're quite capable of throwing him out. Yet it appears this lack-of-direction is the main driver of the party's under-performance, and this isn't helped by a caucus consisting of MPs who clearly do not have any common understanding of what the party is trying to achieve apart from occupying the seats opposite.
ReplyDeleteLabour has mismanaged Communications / Media Relations since bringing Shearer in (and whoever is working as his media strategist should start considering other career options). He's got a brilliant back-story (kidnappings and saving the world, it sounds like a movie!), but he's failed to capitalize on it in the same way JKey has.
This media-relations shortfall is something which can easily be remedied within the 2.5 years leading up to the next election.
The question is whether or not he can bring some semblance of discipline to his caucus and formulate a policy direction which appeases the left and seeks to draw more votes from the center.